TC Economic Insight - The Week Ahead (Mar 11 - 15)

By

Christophe Chevalier

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March 10, 2024

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3

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TC Economic Insight - The Week Ahead (Mar 11 - 15)

Using Trading Central's "Economic Insight" investors can check out up-coming major economic data.

We are looking into the trading week of March 11 - 15:

We can select economic data of "High", "Medium" or "Low" importance, or any combination of such filters:

We can select which economies to focus on:

While reporting to U.S. Congress last week (Wednesday & Thursday), Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell pointed out that, if inflation signals cooperate, the central bank is not far from the point of cutting interest rates.

The stock market responded positively to Powell’s relatively dovish comments, as the S&P 500 Index marked a record close Thursday.

Any data suggesting easing inflation will lead to growing expectations of the Fed cutting rates soon and, in turn, better market sentiment and higher stock indexes.

The next set of key U.S. inflation data will be released on Tuesday (March 12). According to Trading Central's "Economic Insight", U.S. Inflation Rate would tick up to 3.2% on year in February, while the Core Inflation Rate may slow to 3.8%.

In the past 12 U.S. Inflation Reports, EUR/USD fell in 58% of times (7 out of 12 events) within one hour from the report’s release, marking a trading range of 70.73 pips on average.

Forecasts of Key Economic Data:

Monday (March 11)

JP GDP Annualized Final (Q4) +0.9%

Tuesday (March 12)

JP Producer Prices (FEB) +0.6% YoY

AU NAB Business Confidence (FEB) to drop to -1

GB Unemployment Rate (JAN) may rise to 3.9%

US Inflation Rate (FEB) to tick up to 3.2% YoY

US Core Inflation Rate (FEB) to dip to 3.8% YoY

Wednesday (March 13)

GB Industrial Production (JAN) -0.1% MoM

GB GDP (JAN) +0.1% MoM

EA Industrial Production (JAN)

 

Thursday (March 14) 

GB RICS House Price Balance (FEB) may rise to -15%

 

US Retail Sales (FEB) +0.2% MoM

 

US Producer Prices (FEB) +0.9% YoY

US Initial Jobless Claims (MAR/09) to tick up to 219,000

Friday (March 15)

CA Housing Starts (FEB) may edge down to 220,000

US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (MAR) may fall to -5.0

US Industrial Production (FEB) -0.1% MoM

US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (MAR) to rise to 78.0

Happy Trading!

Source: Trading Central Economic Insight

Christophe Chevalier

Technical Analyst
Christophe has an STA Level 1 & 2 from the Society of Technical (UK), an MS in Financial Trading ESLSCA France’s elite financial education university and an MBA from ISC Paris Business School. He joined TC in 2007, bringing over 11 years experience in financial markets.
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